What Will House Prices in Melbourne be by 2030?

November 15, 2023
What will house prices be by 2030 Melbourne?

Key takeaways:

  • Melbourne’s house prices are projected to reach $1.5 million for houses and over $985,000 for units by 2030, marking a significant increase based on a historical growth trend.
  • Factors like economic growth, interest rate changes, population growth, and government policies will critically influence the property market and its dynamics.
  • Investors and homebuyers face both opportunities and challenges in this evolving market, balancing potential high returns with risks like market volatility and policy changes.

Wondering what Melbourne house prices will be by 2030? It’s a question on many minds, and experts are saying house prices could potentially reach $1.5 million for houses and $985,000 for units, effectively more than doubling from previous decades.

Considering the strong growth trend of 7.9% per year over the last 40 years, recent predictions suggest that by 2030, Melbourne’s property market will continue to surge.

The predicted increase is due to factors including population growth, land scarcity, and heightened demand in desirable suburbs.

Investors and homebuyers alike are keeping a close eye on Melbourne’s property market as they prepare for the predicted house price increases.

While some experts are more cautious in their predictions, there is no doubt that the next decade will be a crucial time for anyone looking to invest in Melbourne’s property market.

Melbourne House Prices Forecast for 2030

Predicted House Prices and Market Trends

By 2030, Melbourne’s house prices are predicted to reach $1.5 million for houses and just over $985,000 for units, based on historical annual increases. This staggering growth rate of 7.9% per year over the last 40 years reveals the city’s strong performance in the property market.

However, Melbourne didn’t experience the strong property price growth other capitals enjoyed during the once-in-a-generation boom of 2020-21.

The forecast is premised on the historical growth trend persisting. However, it is crucial to recognise that property cycles, lasting between 7-12 years, are not always predictable. Melbourne’s local property market grew at an average of 4.8% each year​. Given these dynamics, it’s natural for sellers to wonder, is it a good time to sell property in Melbourne?

Despite this, investors should consider the potential for capital gains and rental yield. They must also be mindful of risks such as interest rate rises and market volatility.

Investment Opportunities and Challenges

Investors looking to purchase investment-grade properties in Melbourne should consider the potential for capital gains and rental yield. With predicted house prices set to rise, investors can potentially achieve a high return on investment.

However, it is important to note that property investment also comes with risks, such as interest rate rises, market fluctuations, and changes in policy and regulations.

For owner-occupiers looking to purchase a property in Melbourne, the forecast for 2030 may present challenges as the market becomes increasingly competitive.

With the predicted rise in house prices, the landscape for investment and purchasing is evolving. Buyers interested in the current houses for sale in Melbourne must navigate a competitive market.

However, Westpac predicts that the national median house price will rise to $1.2 million by 2025, which means that property purchases may become less affordable for many Australians. Refinancing may be an option for those looking to reduce their mortgage payments.

Impact of Economic and Policy Changes

Economic growth, policy changes, and the Reserve Bank’s cash rate can significantly impact property cycles and predicted house prices. Inflation and interest rate rises can lead to a decrease in demand for property, while economic growth can lead to an increase in demand.

The Reserve Bank’s cash rate can also impact the market, with a decrease in the cash rate leading to a decrease in mortgage rates and an increase in demand for property.

Potential Influence of Migration and Population Growth on Melbourne House Prices

Melbourne’s growing population and migration boom can also impact the property market. Overseas migration has been a significant contributor to population growth in Melbourne, and this trend is expected to continue.

As the population grows, demand for property will also increase, potentially leading to an increase in predicted house prices. However, it is important to note that population growth can also lead to challenges such as urban sprawl and increased traffic congestion.

External factors such as economic growth, policy changes, and population growth can impact the market, and it is important to consider these factors when making property investment decisions.

Government Policies and Infrastructure Development in Melbourne

Potential government interventions and housing policies

The government plays a significant role in the housing market, and its policies can have a significant impact on house prices.

In recent years, the Australian government has implemented several initiatives aimed at addressing housing affordability, such as the First Home Loan Deposit Scheme, which provides first-time buyers with a deposit of as low as 5% without paying lenders mortgage insurance.

Moreover, the government has also introduced measures to encourage property investors to invest in affordable housing, such as the National Rental Affordability Scheme. This scheme provides incentives to investors who build and rent out affordable housing to low and moderate-income households.

Upcoming infrastructure projects and urban developments

Infrastructure development is a crucial factor that influences the property market. The Victorian government has initiated several infrastructure projects aimed at improving transport and connectivity in Melbourne.

“One such project is the Melbourne Metro Tunnel, which is set to improve public transport and reduce congestion in the city.”

Additionally, the government has also initiated several urban development projects aimed at increasing housing supply. For instance, the Fishermans Bend Urban Renewal Area is set to become a new hub for residential and commercial development, providing housing for an additional 80,000 residents.

Zoning laws and their implications for housing supply

Zoning laws play a pivotal role in determining the availability of land for housing development. The Victorian government has implemented several zoning laws that aim to increase housing supply and affordability.

For instance, the government has introduced the Residential Growth Zone, which allows for higher-density housing development in areas close to public transport and other amenities.

Moreover, the government has also implemented the General Residential Zone, which primarily allows for low-density housing development. These zoning laws have implications for the supply of housing in different areas of Melbourne and can influence house prices.

Suggested reading: After you’ve enjoyed this article, expand your understanding with our analysis: What is happening to property prices in Melbourne? – a must-read for anyone interested in Melbourne’s property market.

FAQ on Property Market Predictions for Melbourne

Is Melbourne to Eclipse Sydney as the most expensive city for property by 2030?

Melbourne is predicted to surpass Sydney as the most expensive city for property by 2030, with the average cost of a Sydney house expected to double in the next decade.

What will be the most expensive city in Australia in 2030?

Melbourne is set to eclipse Sydney as the most expensive city for property by the year 2030.

Will property prices double in 10 years?

While there is a common belief that property values will double every decade, this is not universally true; it is contingent on various factors, and not all properties will follow this trend.

What year was Melbourne the richest city in the world?

During the 1880s, following the Victorian gold rush, Melbourne experienced an economic boom that made it the richest city in the world at that time.

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