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Newcastle Property Market: Is 2024 a Good Year to Buy or Sell?

February 13, 2024
Newcastle Property Market: Is 2024 a Good Year to Buy or Sell?

Key takeaways:

    • Economic diversification, infrastructural developments, and demographic changes are driving forces behind Newcastle’s property market resilience with property prices expected to increase by 3-5% in 2024.

    • Newcastle’s housing market dynamics are influenced by higher interest rates impacting affordability, a tightening in housing supply, and government policies that provide incentives to first-home buyers.

    • Opportunities for property investment and first-time buyers lie in emerging hotspots with growth potential and areas with government incentives, despite challenges such as affordability and market timing.

Exploring the Newcastle property market and wondering, is 2024 a good year to buy or sell?

Buyers and sellers are bracing for a year of strategic decision-making. This pivotal year offers both challenges and opportunities that could influence your choice to purchase or list a property.

Will the slowing price appreciation and demographic shifts play to your advantage, or will rising interest rates and a tight supply define your tactics?

We will dive into the factors shaping Newcastle’s real estate market, providing an essential guide to the 2024 landscape for informed buying or selling decisions.

Newcastle’s Real Estate Landscape in 2024

Image credit: Tripadvisor

Understanding the diverse economic, infrastructural, and demographic factors that shape the bustling Newcastle property market in 2024 is key.

The city, once known for its industrial roots, is experiencing a shift, with economic diversification driving house prices up while unit prices showcase a declining trend. Indeed, this vibrant market is expected to witness a 3-5% increase in property prices, reflecting continued, albeit slowed, price appreciation.

However, the broader economy brings its own challenges, including the aftermath of a building company collapse, fueling competition among buyers and keeping housing prices elevated.

The strength of the Newcastle property market in 2024 is a testament to its resilience and adaptability, influenced by three key components: economic diversification, infrastructure investment, and demographic changes.

Economic Diversification

Newcastle’s ongoing transformation from an industrial city to a diversified economy is reshaping the real estate sector. This economic diversification is attracting new businesses and driving demand for both residential and commercial properties.

Renovation of former industrial areas into desirable residential spots is influencing the real estate dynamics positively, leading to capital growth in the property market.

From innovative workspaces driven by technology industries to mixed-use developments supporting a growing residential community, the diversification of Newcastle’s economy is creating a healthier growth environment for the property market.

Infrastructure Investment

Infrastructure investment in Newcastle is another key factor shaping the real estate market. Major projects like the $835 million Maitland Hospital and the $240 million Newcastle Airport expansion not only enhance regional economies but also boost local property markets and potentially drive tenant demand.

Planned zoning changes for higher density housing around seven train stations, such as Broadmeadow and Kotara, underscore strategic urban planning that influences real estate demand and opportunities.

These investments, along with new developments like transport links and commercial hubs, are lifting property values and shaping Newcastle’s neighborhoods’ overall appeal and livability.

Demographic Changes

Demographic changes significantly influence the dynamics of Newcastle’s property market. As the population ages, there may be a greater need for smaller, more accessible homes with age-friendly amenities to accommodate the changing demographics.

This shift could drive increased demand for properties designed to meet these specific requirements.

At the same time, urbanisation boosts the demand for housing in the city centre, with a growing preference for apartments and townhouses.

The rise of single-person households and preferences for sustainable living are further contributing to an increased demand for smaller apartments or studio flats and eco-friendly homes.

Also, remote working trends are shaping buyer preferences towards properties with additional space for home offices.

Buying vs. Selling in 2024 in Newcastle: Key Factors to Consider

When it comes to buying or selling property in Newcastle in 2024, there are several key factors to consider. Both housing supply and demand significantly impact house prices. Of particular importance are the rising interest rates, which challenge first-home buyers’ ability to keep up with mortgage payments.

Additionally, distressed selling activity is expected to rise, affecting Newcastle’s real estate market dynamics.

Understanding the interplay of these factors can help potential buyers or sellers make informed decisions.

How Interest Rates Affect the Newcastle Property Market

In 2023, interest rates dramatically influenced Newcastle’s property market, checking growth mid-year and contributing to the expected mild correction in Australia’s housing market in 2024.

As interest rates rise, rising interest rates can decrease the affordability of mortgages, potentially suppressing buyer demand by increasing monthly mortgage payments.

Despite 13 consecutive interest rate increases from the Reserve Bank of Australia, Australian property prices in Newcastle have shown resilience, continuing to rise after hitting a low in early 2023.

With the forecast of interest rates falling in 2024, increased affordability for borrowers could stimulate demand in the Newcastle real estate market.

Tightening Housing Supply and Demand in Newcastle

Newcastle’s strong population growth, coupled with a lower number of new building approvals, signals a tightening in housing supply.

This shortage, alongside the trend of buying properties for investment and potential increases in immigration, can elevate property competition and pricing.

Moreover, low rental vacancy rates and higher house prices add to the strain on housing supply, making property selection an essential aspect of buying or selling in 2024.

Government Policies and Incentives

Government policies can shape the Newcastle housing market through mechanisms such as:

  • Tax incentives
  • Regulations on landlords and tenants
  • Property tax reforms
  • New zoning laws

Subsidies for homebuyers and tax changes are significant government policies that can impact housing affordability, particularly benefiting first-time buyers with grants or stamp duty concessions.

Moreover, government-led schemes aim to:

  • Increase home supply
  • Influence property values alongside development incentives
  • Improve targeted areas through better infrastructure and community facilities.

Promising Suburbs for Investment in 2024

Collage of promising suburbs for investment in 2024

Exploring the best Newcastle suburbs for potential growth and worst Newcastle suburbs to possibly avoid is essential for making informed decisions.

In 2024, several suburbs in Newcastle stand out as promising areas for property investment. These include:

Each of these middle ring suburbs offers unique opportunities for prospective investors and homebuyers alike.

We now examine these areas in greater detail.

Emerging Hotspots in Newcastle

House for sale in Adamstown Heights

Emerging hotspots in Newcastle offer significant growth potential due to various factors. Some of these hotspots include:

  • Adamstown Heights and Kotara, which are recognized for their strong growth potential due to their family-friendly atmosphere and close proximity to business districts.
  • Hamilton and Anna Bay, which offer reasonable property prices with anticipated potential for capital growth, marking them as emerging suburbs worthy of attention for property selection.
  • Wickham, which is undergoing a transformation with increased high-density housing options, appealing to first home buyers and people looking to downsize.

These areas present great opportunities for property investment and growth in Newcastle.

Established Neighborhoods in Newcastle

Established neighborhoods in Newcastle are known for their high property values and desirable living conditions. New Lambton Heights, New Lambton, and Hamilton have been recognized as part of the ‘million dollar club’ as of November 2023.

Merewether, Bar Beach, and Cooks Hill are the most expensive neighborhoods in Newcastle, offering properties comparable to Sydney’s Palm Beach at a median house price of $2,000,000.

These areas are highly sought-after, attracting investors and homebuyers alike.

Regional Areas

Regional areas in and around Newcastle present unique investment opportunities. The construction of an international airport terminal at Williamtown is driving commercial property demand and economic growth in Port Stephens.

Lake Macquarie’s proximity to Sydney and ongoing infrastructure projects bolster its appeal for commercial property investment.

Moreover, suburbs like Wallsend and Mayfield, in the vicinity of Newcastle, present more affordable investment opportunities contrasted with the higher prices of the city’s main suburbs.

Challenges and Opportunities for First-Time Buyers in Newcastle

Newcastle property market

First-time buyers in Newcastle face a challenging property market due to rapid price growth in sought-after areas. However, understanding these challenges and the opportunities available can help navigate the market successfully.

We can explore the world of first-time buyers in Newcastle by focusing on affordability issues and government assistance programs.

Affordability Issues

A significant challenge for first-time buyers in Newcastle is the growing gap between income growth and the escalation of housing prices.

However, more affordable housing options are available in suburbs like Mayfield and neighboring areas such as Georgetown and Kahibah.

Forecasts of a stagnant or mildly correcting housing market in 2024 could also spell opportunity for first-home buyers seeking entry into the Newcastle property market.

Government Assistance Programs

Government incentives such as the First Home Owner Grant (FHOG) and stamp duty concessions enhance buying capacity and stimulate demand by aiding first-time homebuyers. Some of these incentives include:

  • The First Home Owner Grant (FHOG), which provides a one-time grant to first-time homebuyers
  • Stamp duty concessions, which reduce the amount of stamp duty payable on a property purchase
  • The First Home Guarantee Scheme, which offers a lower deposit requirement for first-time buyers, with varying price limits according to location

However, potential buyers should be aware that access to these programs may require early application or potential waiting due to limited spots.

Furthermore, certain first-time buyers might be ineligible for government assistance if their income or the property’s value goes beyond the set thresholds.

Strategies for Success

Identifying in-demand property types and features is crucial for first-time buyers in making informed decisions in the Newcastle property market.

Additionally, considering less conventional homeownership options such as co-ownership or rent-to-buy schemes can circumvent the challenges of entering the Newcastle market.

Rental Market Outlook in Canberra for 2024

Trend chart showing rental market outlook for 2024

The rental market outlook for 2024 in Newcastle predicts double-digit growth in rental prices, a situation somewhat mirrored by the average rent in Canberra, reflecting the nationwide trend of tight rental markets.

This growth, coupled with significant rent rises in 2024, will likely attract more investors and pressure some renters to enter the more affordable sectors of the homebuying market.

Rental Price Growth

In the context of various Australian cities experiencing different rental price growth scenarios, Newcastle is anticipated to face more modest gains or mild corrections.

Understanding the rental market dynamics is crucial for both prospective landlords and tenants, especially in terms of rental price growth.

Vacancy Rates

As of January 2024, Newcastle’s vacancy rates stand at 1.7%. This low vacancy rate, along with the Central Coast’s slightly lower vacancy rate of 1.6%, contributes to a shortage in housing supply, leading to increased house prices and a competitive rental market.

Tenant Demand

Tenant demand in Newcastle is influenced by factors like remote work trends, urbanization, and preferences for sustainable living.

For instance, there is increased demand for rental properties that offer dedicated office spaces or are situated in quieter, suburban areas.

Moreover, the rise of online rental platforms and smart home technologies are reshaping tenant expectations and the rental market in Newcastle.

Expert Tips for Buying or Selling Property in 2024

Valuable insights can be gained from expert tips when considering buying or selling property in Newcastle in 2024.

We will explore the importance of understanding market timing, making informed property selection, and employing effective negotiation strategies.

Market Timing

Market timing is crucial when considering buying or selling an investment property, as it can significantly impact the value and opportunity presented by the transaction.

Early 2024 is expected to offer buying opportunities in Newcastle due to a period of price stabilisation following a tapering trend in the second half of 2023.

Curious to learn more? Soho’s guide on property market cycles will help buyers and renters time the market properly.

Property Selection

Property selection plays a significant role in the success of buying or selling property in Newcastle. Cashed-up buyers have been prominent in the Newcastle property market in 2024, significantly influencing the growth and dynamics of property purchases, particularly in provincial areas and suburbs.

Explore available real estate for sale in Newcastle NSW.

Negotiation Strategies

Effective negotiation strategies can make a significant difference when buying or selling property. Before making an offer, ensure the offer is in writing and includes any finance and settlement terms to secure the desired conditions of the contract.

Utilizing the expertise of a conveyancer can provide greater flexibility during the property acquisition process, such as requesting extensions on finance clauses.

Lastly, conducting a final inspection before settlement ensures the property’s condition has not changed unfavorably since the contract was signed, avoiding future disputes or issues.

Summary

In summary, the Newcastle property market in 2024 is influenced by a diverse range of factors, from economic diversification and infrastructure investment to demographic changes. For those considering buying or selling property in this vibrant market, understanding these dynamics is crucial.

Whether you’re a first-time buyer navigating affordability issues and exploring government assistance, an investor identifying promising suburbs for investment, or a tenant understanding the rental market outlook, knowledge is power.

Stay informed, stay prepared, and make 2024 a successful year in your real estate journey.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy a house now or wait until 2024 Australia?

The right time to consider investing in a property is when you have all your ducks in a row, so make sure to have your finances and plans in order before making a decision.

Is it a good time to buy a house in Newcastle?

Yes, it’s a good time to buy a house in Newcastle, as lower property prices present a favorable opportunity for investment. Additionally, the area’s value and relative affordability make it a promising long-term choice.

Where to invest in property 2024?

Consider investing in the following areas: Manly and Parramatta in Sydney, as well as Newcastle, Wollongong, and Byron Bay in Regional NSW. Additionally, Maitland, Logan, and Warneroo in WA are emerging growth areas with strong potential for investment in 2024.

What are the key factors influencing the Newcastle property market in 2024?

The key factors influencing the Newcastle property market in 2024 are economic diversification, infrastructure investment, demographic changes, interest rates, housing supply and demand, and government policies and incentives. These factors will play a significant role in shaping the market.

What are some promising suburbs for property investment in 2024?

In 2024, some promising suburbs for property investment are Adamstown Heights, Kotara, New Lambton Heights, and Port Stephens. Consider these locations for potential investment opportunities.

Disclaimer: Images in this article may have been optimised using AI

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Our AI match engine will match you with over 150,000+ properties and you can swipe away or shortlist easily. Making your home buying journey faster and easier.