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What Will Predicted House Prices in 2030 Perth Look Like?

August 16, 2023
predicted house prices in 2030 perth

Key takeaways:

    • By 2030, Perth’s median house prices are predicted to reach approximately $850,000 and unit prices could surge to $560,000.

    • Key drivers of growth include falling interest rates, past decade performance and infrastructure developments.

    • Investors can maximize returns by investing in investment grade properties diversifying property types & considering location factors.

In this blog post, we’ll explore the predicted house prices in 2030 Perth, comparing them to other capital cities, examining the key drivers of growth, and providing strategies to outperform the average growth rate.

How will median house prices and unit prices evolve in the coming years? Well, for one, some recent reports suggest it could reach close to $900,000.

The year 2030 may seem distant, but understanding the factors influencing Perth’s property market can help investors make informed decisions today.

So let’s dive in and uncover the potential of Perth’s property market.

Recommended Reading: How Liveable is Australia and the Role of Housing

Perth House Prices in 2030: A Forecast

By 2030, it is anticipated that Perth’s median house prices could reach around $900,000, while the city’s unit prices could surge as high as $560,000. These predictions are based on a comprehensive Perth house prices forecast.

They assume a 4.8% annual growth rate over the next 7 years, which is the same pace as the current growth rate.

Perth’s property market has shown signs of growth in recent years, with residential real estate prices rising in areas such as:

  • Perth City
  • Kwinana
  • Rockingham
  • City of Swan

But it’s also worth noting that there have been instances of Perth property prices dropping in the past. Currently, the median dwelling price in Perth is $676,823, indicating the current state of the Perth property market. That’s about a 20% increase from the same time last year.

To better understand the forecasted house prices, let’s examine the factors that will contribute to Perth’s property market growth, including economic growth, population trends, and housing supply.

Economic growth and its impact on Perth’s property market

Perth has witnessed robust economic growth, with more than $9 billion of building activity approved over the past decade, including residential property developments.

This boom, combined with the availability of affordable housing, indicates that Perth is a good place to live, and it makes the city’s property market competitive when compared to capitals like Sydney.

In fact, the projected annual price growth of Perth property prices in 2024 is an impressive 8.0%.

The booming economy leads to:

  • Job creation and economic development
  • Attracting more people to the city
  • Boosting demand for housing
  • Subsequently driving up property prices

With the CPI growth in Perth expected to ease to 3.5% by the June 2024 quarter, the city’s property market is poised for continued growth, offering opportunities for investors and homebuyers alike.

Population trends affecting Perth’s housing market

Perth’s population growth rate of 2.3% outpaces the national average of 1.9%. This population growth directly impacts the housing market by increasing the demand for housing and putting upward pressure on property prices.

The influx of new residents in Australia, particularly in major cities like Perth, creates significant growth potential for the property market.

Migrants who arrive in Perth tend to follow a consistent transition pattern in terms of housing. Over the span of 20 years from their arrival, they transition from renting to owning, and from occupying apartments or townhouses to detached houses.

This pattern further contributes to the demand for various types of housing in Perth, affecting property values and the overall market.

Housing supply and its role in shaping property values

Perth’s housing supply plays a critical role in shaping property values. Currently, the city is experiencing an undersupply of rental properties, which has been the primary factor in the 13.5% increase in median rents. The vacancy rate in Perth is a low 0.4%, suggesting that rental properties are in high demand.

This undersupply of rental properties has a ripple effect on Perth’s property market, pushing up property prices. Investors looking to enter the market might consider the best places to invest in Perth, considering these dynamics.

Comparing Perth’s Property Market with Other Capital Cities

predicted house prices in 2030 perth

Now that we’ve examined the factors influencing Perth’s property market, let’s compare its growth with other capital cities. It is interesting to note that Perth’s house prices are performing favorably compared to other capitals, with Adelaide being the only one to outperform.

To better understand these differences, let’s take a closer look at the property markets in:

  • Sydney
  • Melbourne
  • Brisbane
  • Adelaide

By comparing Perth’s property market with these other capital cities, we can gain valuable insights into market trends and growth potential across Australia, helping investors make informed decisions about where to invest in property.

Sydney house prices in 2030

In Sydney, the median house price is expected to reach a staggering $1.8 million by 2030, assuming a 5.4% average annual growth rate between 1990 and 2020. The median apartment price is also predicted to rise, reaching an estimated $1.26 million in 2030.

These figures reflect the strong demand for housing in Sydney and the impact of factors such as population growth and infrastructure spending on property prices. With Sydney prices on the rise, potential homeowners should be prepared for increasing costs in the coming years.

Despite recent fluctuations in Sydney’s property market, it is expected that the market will continue to show growth in the short term. Investors considering Sydney should be aware of these predictions and the potential opportunities and challenges they present.

Melbourne house prices in 2030

Melbourne’s property market has been relatively stable in recent years, with the following trends:

  • House prices increased by 4.2% in 2021.
  • By 2030, it is estimated that house prices in Melbourne will range from $1.5 million to $2 million.
  • Factors influencing house prices include economic growth, population trends, and housing supply.
  • The current median house price in Melbourne is around $1 million, indicating the strength of the city’s property market.

Investors looking to outpace the average growth rate in Melbourne should focus on investment-grade properties, diversify property types, and take into account location factors when making investment decisions.

Brisbane and Adelaide house prices in 2030

Projections suggest that by 2030.

  • Brisbane house prices will approach $1.2 million
  • Brisbane unit prices will nearly reach $750,000
  • Adelaide house prices are expected to approach $1 million

Population growth and infrastructure investment are the primary determinants of the projected house prices for Brisbane and Adelaide in 2030.

To surpass the average growth rate in Brisbane and Adelaide, investors should prioritize investment-grade properties, diversify their property types, and carefully evaluate location factors when investing in these cities.

Key Drivers of Perth’s Property Market Growth

predicted house prices in 2030 perth

Now that we have compared Perth’s property market with other capital cities, let’s delve deeper into the key drivers of growth in Perth. Falling interest rates, past decade performance, and infrastructure developments all contribute to the growth of Perth’s property market.

By understanding these drivers, investors can make informed decisions and capitalize on the opportunities presented by Perth’s property market.

Each of these key drivers has a different impact on the property market, and by examining them closely, we can better understand the potential for growth in Perth’s housing market and the factors that may influence future performance.

Falling interest rates

Lower interest rates have a significant impact on the property market, making properties more accessible to potential buyers by reducing the cost of borrowing money. This increased affordability, in turn, leads to higher demand for properties and contributes to house price growth.

The Reserve Bank’s decision to lower the cash rate has made borrowing more affordable, benefiting both property investors and potential homebuyers.

As interest rates continue to fall, the demand for properties in Perth is likely to increase, supporting the growth of house prices and providing opportunities for investors to capitalize on favorable market conditions.

Past decade performance

Perth’s property market has shown resilience in the past, with median house prices increasing by more than 40% since 2010. However, the performance has been mixed, with home values surging between 2004 and 2014, followed by a decline of 20% between 2014 and 2019 due to factors such as a slowdown in the mining industry, an oversupply of housing, and decreased consumer confidence.

Despite these challenges, Perth’s property market has been recovering in recent months, with six out of the past eight months showing an increase in home values. This past performance indicates the potential for continued growth in the future, highlighting the importance of understanding market trends and making informed investment decisions.

Infrastructure developments

Infrastructure developments in Perth, such as the Forrestfield-Airport Link and the Elizabeth Quay development, provide new transport links and amenities, contributing to the city’s attractiveness and supporting property price growth.

These developments lead to population growth, provide job opportunities, enhance liveability, and heighten demand for real estate.

However, infrastructure developments also come with potential risks, including increased traffic congestion, increased pollution, and increased pressure on existing infrastructure.

Investors should consider both the advantages and risks associated with infrastructure developments when making decisions about investing in Perth’s property market.

Strategies for Outperforming the Average Growth Rate in Perth

predicted house prices in 2030 perth

To outperform the average growth rate in Perth’s property market, investors should focus on three key strategies: investing in investment-grade properties, diversifying property types, and considering location factors.

By employing these strategies, investors can maximize their returns and capitalize on the growth potential of Perth’s property market.

Each of these strategies offers a different approach to investing in Perth’s property market, and by understanding how they work together, investors can make informed decisions and minimize risks while maximizing returns.

Focusing on investment-grade properties

Investment-grade properties, such as well-located houses and townhouses, are expected to see higher growth rates than average. These types of properties are in high demand among first-home buyers who are facing difficulty affording the market, as well as singles and young couples who are looking for the advantages of desirable locations but are unable to afford houses or townhouses.

By focusing on investment-grade properties, investors can capitalize on the strong demand for these types of properties and potentially achieve higher returns than the average growth rate in Perth’s property market.

Diversifying property types

Diversifying property types is another strategy to outperform the average growth rate in Perth’s property market. By investing in various types of properties, such as apartments, townhouses, and houses, in different locations and price ranges, investors can mitigate risks and increase returns through a balanced portfolio.

In Perth, investors can find a wide range of property types, including:

  • Terrace homes
  • Single dwellings
  • Duplex/triplex villas
  • Apartments
  • Houses
  • Semi-detached or duplex homes
  • Villas
  • Townhouses
  • Granny flats

By diversifying property types and making strategic investments, investors can take advantage of different market conditions and capitalize on the growth potential of various types of properties.

Location considerations

Location is a crucial factor when investing in Perth’s property market. Investors should consider factors such as:

  • Proximity to amenities like schools, shops, and public transport
  • Accessibility to major roads and highways
  • Local infrastructure developments
  • Potential for capital growth and rental yields

Budget and affordability considerations, proximity to amenities, and access to recreational areas are all essential factors to consider when assessing the location of a property in Perth. By taking location factors into account, investors can make more informed decisions and potentially achieve higher returns than the average growth rate in Perth’s property market.

Summary

In conclusion, Perth’s property market is poised for growth in the coming years, with median house prices predicted to reach around $850,000 and unit prices around $560,000 by 2030. Factors such as economic growth, population trends, and housing supply will play a significant role in shaping the property market in Perth.

When compared to other capital cities, Perth’s property market is performing favorably, with potential for continued growth and investment opportunities.

By understanding the key drivers of Perth’s property market growth and employing strategies such as focusing on investment-grade properties, diversifying property types, and considering location factors, investors can outperform the average growth rate and capitalize on the potential of Perth’s property market.

The future of Perth’s property market looks promising, offering exciting opportunities for investors and homebuyers alike.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much will Perth houses cost in 2025?

In June 2025, the median house price for houses in Perth is projected to be around $679,000, due to a 4% increase in prices by then.

Will Perth house prices ever go up?

Experts are expecting Perth house prices to grow steadily with an estimated 30% growth in the period from 2023 to 2027. The median price is predicted to surpass $700,000 by July 2024 and continue rising in the upcoming financial year, with a forecast of 1 to 3 per cent.

Therefore, it is likely that Perth house prices will go up in the long term.

How does Perth’s property market compare to other capital cities in Australia?

Perth’s property market performs well compared to other capital cities, outperforming all but Adelaide.

What strategies can help investors outperform the average growth rate in Perth’s property market?

Focusing on investment-grade properties, diversifying property types, and considering location factors can help investors outpace the average growth rate in Perth’s property market.

Investment-grade properties are those that have a higher potential for capital growth and rental returns. Diversifying property types can help spread risk and provide a more balanced portfolio. Location factors such as access to amenities, transport links, and proximity to attractions.

How do falling interest rates impact Perth’s property market?

Lower interest rates make properties more attractive to potential buyers, driving up demand and leading to increased house prices in Perth.

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